U.S. Senate candidate Adam Laxalt and Nevada gubernatorial-hopeful Joe Lombardo are both leading their incumbent Democrat opponents, a new Trafalgar Group poll found.
Former Nevada Attorney General Laxalt is leading Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) — who is widely considered one of the most at risk Demorcarts — 47 percent to 43 percent. The four point lead is notably outside of the survey’s 2.9 percent margin of error.
🚨NEVADA POLL by Trafalgar
(R) Adam Laxalt 47% (+4)
(D) Catherine Cortez Masto 43%
(R. Joe Lombardo 48% +3)
(D) Steve Sisolak 45%
⚪1,086 likely voters
⚪ MoE ±2.9%
⚪ Sample: D37/R35/I28https://t.co/s55tGWWYL4 pic.twitter.com/givx0gwLDT
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 22, 2022
The Trafalgar Group poll is the first poll in over a month to show Laxalt leading Cortez Masto outside of a survey’s margin of error. Early September poll from The HillLaxalt was ahead of Laxalt by one point at /Emerson College, while a Fabrizio/Anzalone poll from August showed Cortez Masto in the lead by one point.
RealClearPolitics provides the Nevada U.S. Senate election a “toss-up”It is rated and listed as an estimate “GOP Pickup.”Laxalt is ahead of the RCP polling average by 1.3 percentage point.
Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo leads the Gov. Steve Sisolak (D) 48 percent to 45 percent, which is narrowly outside of the survey’s 2.9 percent margin of error.
RCP shows Lombardo’s average lead at 1.6 percentage points, and also ranks the Nevada gubernatorial race a “toss-up”Projects and “GOP pickup.”Lombardo was ranked either slightly better than Sisolak, or equal to the incumbent in the above polling.
Trafalgar polled 1086 probable 2022 voters between Sept. 17-20 with a confidence level of 95 percent. 37% of respondents responded to the poll. Participation of Democrats: 35 percent Republican participation; 28 percent participation by no party/other. Participating women comprise more than 51%, while men make up 48.6 percent.
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